{"id":9191,"date":"2015-01-23T12:43:51","date_gmt":"2015-01-23T04:34:46","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/chinaworker.info\/?p=9191"},"modified":"2015-01-31T12:51:00","modified_gmt":"2015-01-31T04:51:00","slug":"%e4%b8%ad%e5%9c%8b%e7%b6%93%e6%bf%9f%e5%a2%9e%e9%95%b7%e8%b7%8c%e8%87%b31990%e5%b9%b4%e4%be%86%e6%9c%80%e4%bd%8e","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/chinaworker.info\/zh-hant\/2015\/01\/23\/9191\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u9577\u8dcc\u81f31990\u5e74\u4f86\u6700\u4f4e"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u4e94\u5e74\u4f86\u653e\u7de9\u4e09\u6210<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u4e2d\u570b\u52de\u5de5\u8ad6\u58c7\u3000\u5831\u5c0e<\/p>\n<p>\u672c\u9031\u516c\u4f48\u7684\u570b\u5167\u751f\u7522\u6bdb\u984d\uff08GDP\uff09\u8a3c\u5be6\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u5275\u4e0b\u4e86\u4e8c\u5341\u56db\u5e74\u4f86\u6700\u4f4e\u7684\u589e\u9577\u3002\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u7684\u9810\u6e2c\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u5728\u901a\u8ca8\u7dca\u7e2e\u3001\u7522\u80fd\u904e\u5269\u3001\u50b5\u53f0\u9ad8\u7bc9\uff0c\u52a0\u4e0a\u904e\u5ea6\u6295\u8cc7\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u9818\u57df\uff08\u4f8b\u5982\u623f\u5730\u7522\u696d\u2500\u2500\u904e\u53bb\u5341\u5e74\u7d93\u6fdf\u6210\u9577\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u5f15\u64ce\uff09\u6240\u9020\u6210\u7684\u300c\u50f5\u5c4d\u7d93\u6fdf\u300d\u6b63\u5728\u64f4\u5927\uff0c\u5c07\u4f7f\u672a\u4f86\u5e7e\u5e74\u6210\u9577\u518d\u5275\u65b0\u4f4e\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9810\u6599\u672a\u4f86\u5e7e\u500b\u6708\u5167\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u6703\u63a8\u884c\u653e\u5bec\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u900f\u904e\u5c0d\u6b63\u5728\u6399\u624e\u7684\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u53ca\u516c\u53f8\u653e\u5bec\u4fe1\u8cb8\u6d41\u52d5\uff0c\u5f9e\u800c\u523a\u6fc0\u7d93\u6fdf\u53ca\u5c0d\u6297\u7dca\u7e2e\u7684\u58d3\u529b\uff08\u8207\u6b50\u6d32\u548c\u65e5\u672c\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\u7684\u624b\u6cd5\u76f8\u4f3c\uff09\u3002\u4f46\u9019\u6a23\u7684\u8a71\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u50b5\u52d9\u73fe\u5df2\u9054\u5230\u4e0d\u53ef\u6301\u7e8c\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4ed6\u5011\u4e0d\u60f3\u4ee4\u50b5\u52d9\u6c34\u5e73\u518d\u5ea6\u6025\u5347\uff0c\u5c31\u9700\u8981\u975e\u5e38\u56f0\u96e3\u7684\u5e73\u8861\u624b\u6bb5\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e2d\u570b\u570b\u5bb6\u7d71\u8a08\u5c40\u767c\u4f48\u76842014\u5e74\u5ea6GDP\u6210\u9577\u7387\u70ba7.4%\uff0c\u4f4e\u65bc\u9810\u671f\u76847.5%\u76ee\u6a19\u3002\u96d6\u7136\u5dee\u8ddd\u5f88\u5c0f\uff0c\u4f46\u9019\u662f\u81ea1998\u5e74\u4e9e\u6d32\u91d1\u878d\u98a8\u66b4\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u9996\u6b21\u6c92\u6709\u9054\u6a19\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ee5\u4e0a\u6578\u5b57\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u300c\u7d93\u6fdf\u5947\u8e5f\u300d\u5728\u904e\u53bb\u4e94\u5e74\u88e1\u5df2\u7d93\u6e1b\u7de9\u4e8630%\u3002\u81ea2010\u5e74\u6700\u5f8c\u4e00\u6b21\u96d9\u4f4d\u6578\uff0810.4%\uff09\u589e\u9577\uff0c\u52302011\u76849.3%\uff0c\u52302012\u5e74\u548c 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2016\u6e1b\u7de9\u5230 6.5%\u3002\u300d\u904e\u5f80\u770b\u597d\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u570b\u969b\u8ca8\u5e63\u57fa\u91d1\uff08IMF\uff09\u4e5f\u8abf\u964d\u4e86\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u589e\u9577\u7684\u9810\u6e2c\u52302015\u5e74\u76846.8%\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca2016\u5e74\u76846.3%\u3002\u570b\u969b\u8ca8\u5e63\u57fa\u91d1\u7684\u9996\u5e2d\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5bb6\u5967\u7acb\u4f5b\u5e03\u862d\u67e5\u5766\u627f\uff1a\u300c\u623f\u5730\u7522\u71b1\u6f6e\u6d88\u9000\u6bd4\u6211\u5011\u4e4b\u524d\u9810\u671f\u7684\u56b4\u91cd\u3002\u300d\u4ed6\u5011\u9810\u671f\u5370\u5ea6\u57282016\u5e74GDP\u6210\u9577\u7387\u6703\u6bd4\u4e2d\u570b\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u901a\u8ca8\u7dca\u7e2e\u9670\u5f71<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u4e2d\u570b\u50cf\u4e16\u754c\u7d93\u6fdf\u4e2d\u7684\u8a31\u591a\u5176\u4ed6\u5340\u57df\u4e00\u6a23\uff0c\u73fe\u6b63\u906d\u9047\u5230\u901a\u8ca8\u7dca\u7e2e\u3002\u5c31\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u72c0\u6cc1\u4f86\u770b\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u53f2\u4e0a\u524d\u6240\u672a\u6709\u7684\u8d85\u9ad8\u7522\u80fd\u904e\u5269\u3002\u300c\u5728\u5f88\u591a\u884c\u696d\u88e1\uff0c\u751f\u7522\u8207\u7522\u80fd\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\u90fd\u6025\u901f\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u92fc\u6750\u3001\u5e73\u9762\u73bb\u7483\u3001\u5efa\u7bc9\u6750\u6599\u3001\u5316\u5b78\u54c1\u3001\u5316\u5b78\u80a5\u6599\u3001\u92c1\u3001\u9020\u8239\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u592a\u967d\u80fd\u677f\u548c\u98a8\u529b\u6e26\u8f2a\u3002\u53bb\u5e74\u5927\u7d0470-72%\uff0c\u800c\u770b\u4f86\u672a\u4f86\u9084\u6703\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u63a2\u5e95\u3002\u300d\uff08\u91d1\u878d\u6642\u5831\uff0c2014\/12\/24\uff09<\/p>\n<p>\u5efa\u8a2d\u7684\u6025\u9032\u8173\u6b65\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u57282008\u5e74\u5f15\u5165\u4e86\u5de8\u91cf\u7684\u523a\u6fc0\u65b9\u6848\u5f8c\uff0c\u9020\u5c31\u4e86\u591a\u8655\u7684\u300c\u9b3c\u57ce\u300d\u548c\u5927\u91cf\u50b5\u52d9\u3002\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u6d88\u8cbb\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\u5f9e\u4e94\u5e74\u524d\u76846%\u6389\u5230\u4e861.5%\u3002\u751f\u7522\u8005\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\u5247\u9023\u7e8c34\u500b\u6708\u4e0d\u65b7\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u81ea2011\u5e74\u4f86\u5df2\u4e0b\u8dcc\u4e8610%\u3002\u901a\u8ca8\u7dca\u7e2e\u4f7f\u5f97\u50b5\u52d9\u9084\u6b3e\u7684\u5be6\u969b\u50f9\u503c\u66f4\u9ad8\u6602\uff0c\u73fe\u88ab\u8996\u70ba\u662f\u5168\u7403\u8cc7\u672c\u4e3b\u7fa9\u7d93\u6fdf\u6700\u5927\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6b50\u6d32\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\u57281\u670822\u65e5\u5ba3\u4f48\u300c\u91cf\u5316\u5bec\u9b06\u300d\u3002\u6b50\u6d32\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\u6a21\u4eff\u7f8e\u570b\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\u7684\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u5c07\u5728\u672a\u4f86\u5169\u5e74\uff0c\u6bcf\u500b\u6708\u96fb\u5b50\u5370\u88fd600\u5104\u6b50\u5143\u3002\u9019\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u76ee\u7684\u662f\u4ee4\u7d93\u6fdf\u9ad4\u64fa\u812b\u901a\u8ca8\u7dca\u7e2e\u7684\u9670\u5f71\uff0c\u9019\u73fe\u6642\u56f0\u64fe\u8457\u6b50\u5143\u534019\u500b\u6210\u54e1\u570b\u4e4b\u4e2d\u76849\u500b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5317\u4eac\u5728\u53bb\u5e74\u5341\u4e00\u6708\u7684\u6e1b\u606f\u4e5f\u662f\u4f9d\u5f9e\u8457\u985e\u4f3c\u7684\u908f\u8f2f\uff0c\u4f46\u537b\u5e36\u4f86\u4e86\u53cd\u6548\u679c\u3002\u6e1b\u606f\u4e0d\u55ae\u672a\u80fd\u5920\u70ba\u6399\u624e\u6c42\u5b58\u7684\u4f01\u696d\u653e\u9b06\u4fe1\u8cb8\u689d\u4ef6\uff0c\u66f4\u5f15\u767c\u4e86\u80a1\u7968\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u6ce1\u6cab\uff0c\u4ee4\u80a1\u50f9\u5728\u6e1b\u606f\u5f8c\u516b\u500b\u661f\u671f\u5167\u6025\u5347\u4e8636%\u3002\u623f\u5c4b\u5e02\u5834\u904e\u53bb\u56b4\u91cd\u5730\u53d7\u8457\u6295\u6a5f\u7092\u8ce3\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c1%\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u5c31\u63a7\u5236\u4e86\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u4e09\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u7684\u5e02\u5340\u623f\u5c4b\u3002\u5982\u4eca\uff0c\u96a8\u8457\u6a13\u5e02\u8b8a\u5f97\u4f4e\u8ff7\uff0c\u90e8\u5206\u6295\u5e7e\u8cc7\u672c\u5247\u8f49\u9032\u4e86\u80a1\u5e02\u3002<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_9106\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-9106\" style=\"width: 600px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"http:\/\/media.chinaworker.info\/2015\/01\/B6HYHG_3090984b-e1421958934908.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-9106 size-large\" src=\"http:\/\/media.chinaworker.info\/2015\/01\/B6HYHG_3090984b-600x374.jpg\" alt=\"\u901a\u8ca8\u7dca\u7e2e\u5a01\u8105\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\" width=\"600\" height=\"374\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-9106\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u901a\u8ca8\u7dca\u7e2e\u5a01\u8105\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>\u6b63\u5982\u7e3d\u7406\u674e\u514b\u5f37\u5728\u53bb\u5e74\u4eba\u5927\u6703\u8b70\u6240\u627f\u8afe\u7684\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u6b63\u8a66\u5716\u300c\u62c6\u9664\u50b5\u52d9\u98a8\u96aa\u7684\u70b8\u5f48\u300d\u3002\u4e00\u958b\u59cb\u7684\u6642\u5019\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u5617\u8a66\u52d2\u4f4f\u5f71\u5b50\u9280\u884c\u4e2d\u6700\u9ad8\u98a8\u96aa\u7684\u9805\u76ee\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u589e\u9577\u8fc5\u901f\u7684\u4fe1\u8a17\u696d\u3002\u7e31\u4f7f\u653f\u5e9c\u57282014\u5e74\u518d\u5ea6\u8abf\u63a7\uff0c\u5f71\u5b50\u9280\u884c\u696d\u7684\u8cc7\u7522\u50f9\u503c\u7e7c\u7e8c\u98c6\u5347\u4e8614%\uff0c\u9054\u5230\u4e86\u4e5d\u842c\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\uff08\u4f86\u6e90\uff1aNomura Securities\uff09\u3002\u5f71\u5b50\u9280\u884c\u904e\u53bb\u4e00\u822c\u88ab\u8a8d\u70ba\u662f\u8d85\u53bb\u7ba1\u5236\u5316\u7684\u82f1\u7f8e\u8cc7\u672c\u4e3b\u7fa9\u7684\u73fe\u8c61\u3002\u5728\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u4e2d\uff0c\u5f71\u5b50\u9280\u884c\u7684\u589e\u9577\u8207\u6700\u5177\u6295\u6a5f\u6027\u7684\u9805\u76ee\uff08\u5982\u623f\u5730\u7522\u696d\uff09\u7dca\u5bc6\u76f8\u9023\uff0c\u800c\u9019\u4e9b\u9805\u76ee\u73fe\u6b63\u53d7\u5230\u7522\u80fd\u904e\u5269\u548c\u7834\u7522\u98a8\u96aa\u63d0\u9ad8\u7684\u56f0\u64fe\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6839\u64da\u6469\u6839\u5927\u901a\u7684\u8cc7\u6599\uff0c\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u50b5\u52d9\u81ea2008\u5e74\u76845.6\u842c\u5104\u4eba\u6c11\u5e63\uff0c\u98c6\u5347\u5230\u4e862004\u5e74\u768421\u842c\u5104\u5143\uff0c\u5dee\u4e0d\u591a\u662f\u539f\u4f86\u7684\u56db\u500d\u3002\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u70ba\u4e86\u8ffd\u6c42\u83ef\u9e97\u7684GDP\u6578\u5b57\uff0c\u4e26\u4e14\u8d85\u8d8a\u6bd7\u9130\u5730\u5340\uff0c\u8207\u79c1\u4eba\u958b\u767c\u5546\u548c\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u806f\u624b\u6295\u8cc7\u4e86\u5927\u91cf\u4ee5\u50b5\u52d9\u9a45\u52d5\u7684\u5efa\u7bc9\u9805\u76ee\u3002\u9019\u500b\u57fa\u5efa\u72c2\u6f6e\u4e5f\u52a0\u5287\u4e86\u8caa\u6c61\u8150\u6557\uff0c\u300c\u6700\u9ad8\u9818\u5c0e\u4eba\u300d\u7fd2\u8fd1\u5e73\u4ea6\u66fe\u516c\u958b\u627f\u8a8d\uff0c\u8caa\u8150\u554f\u984c\u53ef\u4ee5\u4ee4\u4e2d\u5171\u300c\u4ea1\u9ee8\u300d\u3002\u53bb\u5e74\u6a13\u5e02\u653e\u7de9\uff0c\u4f4f\u5b85\u5efa\u9020\u91cf\u4e0b\u8dcc10%\uff0c\u4ee4\u5168\u5e74\u7684\u8ce3\u5730\u6210\u7e3e\u4e5f\u4e0b\u6ed1\u4e8610%\uff0c\u9019\u90fd\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u58d3\u529b\u3002\u571f\u5730\u552e\u8ce3\u662f\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u6536\u5165\u4f86\u6e90\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5317\u4eac\u7684\u5169\u96e3\u662f\uff0c\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u523a\u6fc0\u65b9\u6848\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u6fc0\u767c\u65b0\u7684\u4fe1\u8cb8\u6ce1\u6cab\uff0c\u589e\u52a0\u672a\u4f86\u7206\u767c\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u6a5f\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\uff1b\u800c\u6e1b\u5c11\u4fe1\u8cb8\u7684\u6d41\u91cf\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u5f15\u767c\u66f4\u56b4\u91cd\u7684\u653e\u7de9\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u662f\u5168\u9762\u7684\u8870\u9000\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u6e1b\u4f4e\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u548c\u4f01\u696d\u7684\u9084\u6b3e\u80fd\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8cc7\u7522\u968e\u7d1a\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u8005\u694a\u601d\u5b89\uff08Anne 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